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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $77000.00 plus dime player run!
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
Alex Smart Sports- NBA Season Subscription-2023-24
**2014 NBA Champion!**
**4x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**

#4 ranked NBA handicapper this season!

$1,000/game players have cashed in $29,970 on my NBA picks since 12/25/23!

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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
2024 MLB Season Subscription
**Top 10 MLB handicapper in 2019**

Now on a 31-25 run with my last 59 MLB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $10,100 on my MLB picks since 07/19/23!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 16, 2024
Liberty vs Fever
Liberty
-7 -110 at circa
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

With all eyes on super rookie Caitalin Clarke , the sharp money now expects more regression for the young talent and her Indiana Pacers who were blasted by the Sun in their opener.  Clarke has an average at best game scoring 20 points but struggling in alot of facets of that game. The Fever did not look good and according to my early season power rankings are over matched here tonight vs a strong Liberty side that will be out to send a message. Note: WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 6 or more points/game, after a win by 6 points or less are 25-3 L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.5 . 

Play on Liberty to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 16, 2024
Rays vs Red Sox
OVER 8 -117 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Zack Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) will take the mound for Tampa Bay on Thursday, while right-hander  Cooper Criswell (2-1, 2.10 ERA) goes to the hill for the Red Sox. I know both these hurlers have pitched well and the BoSox has taken part in some low scoring games so far this month, but my projections estimate both batting orders matchup well enough here against the starting pitching and perspective candidates in the  bullpens  to see enough runs cross the plate for a over wager to cash here in Fenway this evening. 

TAMPA BAY is 26-12 OVER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons lie Criswell, with the average combined score of 9.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 16-5 OVER  with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons with. combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (BOSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 141-71 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 10.3 rpg. 

Play over

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 16, 2024
Nuggets vs Wolves
OVER 202½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a do or die game for the Wolves and Im betting they leave everything on the court tonight in a very aggressive posture. The Nuggets have  centered a great deal of time controlling Edwards offensive production, but Im betting on some viable adjustments here and a more concerted scoring ratio. from the home side The last three games have eclipsed this totals offering and nothing Im betting changes tonight. 

DENVER is 8-0 OVER  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. DENVERs L/21 tilts  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. 

MINNESOTA is 11-3 OVER after scoring 105 points or less this season with a combined average of 229.8 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 18-9 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with a combined average of 114.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 154-93 OVER L/28 seasons for a 62% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 211.6 ppg. 

Play over

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).